2008 Projection: Pat Neshek March 12th, 2008 at 9:30 pm
We’re getting into the relief pitchers now as we continue the series of 2008 projections. Let’s take a look at Pat Neshek, everyone’s favorite blogging relief pitcher.
| Year | Age | ERA | W | L | INN | HR | BB | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 ZiPS | 27 | 3.62 | 6 | 4 | 82.0 | 13 | 26 | 93 |
| 2007 | 26 | 2.94 | 7 | 2 | 70.3 | 7 | 27 | 74 |
| 2006 | 25 | 2.19 | 4 | 2 | 37.0 | 6 | 6 | 53 |
Pat Neshek turned into Ron Gardenhire’s go-to guy whenever trouble emerged late in the game last season. In 2007 he picked up where he left off in 2006, by simply dominating opposing hitters. However, his first-half ERA of 1.71 gave way to a second half ERA of 4.82 with particularly bad months in August and September.
Initially criticized for struggling against lefties, Neshek solved any problem that existed last year. Statistically lefties still hit for a little more power against Neshek than righties, but righties still batted only .181 against Neshek in 2007.
Without much change in the bullpen during the offseason, Neshek’s role is likely to be similar to last year’s.
Other 2008 projections
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2 Comments
Kris wrote: March 18th, 2008 at 11:47 am
The ZiPS forumla does look at career stats. I'm not going to pretend to know everything that it considers and how much weight it given to each, but keep in mind it looks at peripheral stats such as walks, hits allowed, etc.. Sometimes the ERA can lie and I'm guessing ZiPS sees something that leads it to believe Neshek's ERA will be higher this year.
It'll be fun to look back at these projections at the end of the year and see how close (or far off) they actually are.
Thanks for the comment.
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Brad wrote: March 16th, 2008 at 5:01 pm
Why would his ERA suddenly jump to 3.64? Do you not look at these guys' career stats? With Crain back and more healthy arms in the pen, Neshek should be used less this year also